Predictive intelligence for decision-makers
Foresight, computed.
Elijah turns the hardest questions in geopolitics, finance and strategy into calibrated, auditable forecasts. Every probability opens to its reasoning. Every assessment updates as the world moves.
The problem
The highest-stakes decisions still run on opinion.
Consulting firms, funds and agencies answer “what happens next?” with qualitative judgement. No probability attached, no audit trail behind it, no way to know the analyst was wrong until it's too late to matter. The deliverable is a one-shot document: static, unaccountable and out of date the day it lands.
Indicators, moving
What Elijah does
Ask the question. Watch the reasoning.
Ask something complex. Elijah builds a probabilistic model, researches the drivers, maps the indicators and returns an assessment with a full chain of reasoning. It keeps that current as events unfold.
- 01AskPose a complex question.
- 02Build the modelA probabilistic structure.
- 03Research driversThe forces behind it.
- 04Map indicatorsWhat moves the outcome.
- 05Assessment, updating liveA full chain of reasoning.
- The reasoning graph
- Evidence, indicators and drivers, mapped to the outcome. Open any node to see what it moves and why.
- A calibrated probability
- Not a guess. Every forecast shows how the estimate shifted from prior to posterior as the evidence came in.
- A written assessment
- An executive summary and full analysis, with the decision implication stated plainly.
The human stays at the centre
The machine handles research, modelling and probability. You own judgement, context and the call, free to challenge the model, override it and add what no dataset captures. Elijah makes the analyst faster and accountable, not redundant.
Why it's different
An edge that's structural, not incremental.
Minutes, not days.
What a team of analysts needs days for, Elijah returns in minutes, at a fraction of the cost. Ask more, iterate, decide sooner.
Observable, not black-box.
Every probability opens up to its reasoning, so you can inspect it, challenge it and defend it.
It compounds.
Scored and tuned on the quality of its judgement, Elijah keeps learning as the world moves. Analysts plateau; it doesn’t.
Built by someone who’s made the call.
It takes a rare blend of frontline operational-intelligence experience and deep AI. That combination is the moat.
Proof
Early, but real. Improving every iteration.
Elijah has been validated against 1,400+ historical forecasting questions. It runs live, timestamped predictions on public forecast markets that anyone can verify. Its accuracy already sits below the threshold at which professional forecasters are typically hired. It keeps improving.
- Historical questions validated
- 1,400+
- Live on public forecast markets
- Verifiable
- Run-time, full pipeline
- ~50m → <5m
Full pipeline live. Run-time cut from ~50 minutes to under 5.
Who it's for
One engine. Every high-stakes call.
Consulting & advisory
Probabilistic answers where you deliver qualitative opinion today.
Capital markets
A predictive edge on macro and supply-chain risk for hedge funds, PE and asset managers.
Defence & intelligence
Structured, auditable foresight for the highest-stakes environments.
Team
Operators who have lived the problem.
Patrick Mullany
Founder & Product
11 years a British Army Intelligence Officer. Seven operations. MSc in AI. Four years building Elijah.
Sumeet Saini
Engineering & Platform
Owns the platform end to end: infrastructure, security and the forecasting pipeline.
Tom Moore
Commercial & Strategy
Ex-military. Ex-Microsoft partner and SaaS operator.
Rich Allen
Operations & Growth
20+ years scaling software and sales functions in new markets.
See a forecast you can interrogate.
Book a demo and ask Elijah a question that matters to you.